Sell stock marketwatch

Regarding China, the bulk of Chinese growth is coming from debt, which in fact is growing at a much faster pace than the economy. The explanation for the stagnation is surprisingly simple: Corporate profitability overall has been stretched to an extreme and is unlikely to improve much, as profit margins are close to all-time highs corporations have squeezed about as much juice out of their operations as they can.

And interest rates are still low, while corporate and government indebtedness is very high — a recipe for higher interest rates and significant inflation down the road, which will pressure corporate margins even further.

I am acutely aware that all of the above sounds like a broken record. We are in the final innings of this eight-year-old bull market, which in the past few years has been fueled not by great fundamentals but by a lack of good investment alternatives. Starved for yield, investors are forced to pick investments by matching current yields with income needs, while ignoring riskiness and overvaluation.

After all, over the past eight years we have observed only steady if unimpressive returns and very little realized risk.

The average stock that is, the market is extremely expensive. Investors who are stampeding into expensive stocks through passive index funds are buying what has worked — and will likely stop working. Mutual funds are not much better.

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When I meet new clients, I get to look at their mutual-fund holdings. Even value-oriented funds, which in theory are supposed to be scraping equities from the bottom of the stock-market barrel, are full of pricey companies.

Thus this market has turned professional investors into buyers not of what they like but of what they hate the least. Unfortunately, the last time this happened was in , during the dot-com bubble, and we know how that story ended. To summarize the requirements for investing in an environment where decisions are made not based on fundamentals but due to a lack of alternatives, look to Mark Twain: To succeed in the market that lies ahead of us, one will need to have a lot of confidence in his ignorance and exercise caution and prudence, which will often mean taking the much less-traveled path.

So, how does one invest in this overvalued market? Our strategy is spelled out in this fairly lengthy article. By using this site you agree to the Terms of Service , Privacy Policy , and Cookie Policy.

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This stock market is priced to sell - MarketWatch

My MarketWatch Watchlist Alerts Games Log In. Bulletin Split decision on Wall Street early Wednesday: Home Investing Stocks Outside the Box Get email alerts. This stock market is priced to sell.

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